Author: Abheek Barua, Chief Economist, HDFC Bank
Source: Rediff
Since this is my last piece this year I thought I would write about the forecasts I have made for the global economy and financial markets for 2008. There is an important caveat, of course. The global macroeconomic and financial environment remains terribly volatile and a number of these predictions could go wrong.
Let me get to the forecasts. The jury appears to be still out on whether the US is headed for a recession next year (going by the textbook, a situation in which GDP growth turns negative for two successive quarters) or whether swift action by the US Federal Reserve is likely to prevent such a situation. US consumption data like retail numbers occasionally surprise positively and US inflation is far from dead. However, despite this bit of fuzziness I remain somewhat sanguine about the following trends.
Whether it qualifies technically as recession or not, the US is likely to see a marked slowdown at least in the first half of 2008, which could last well into the second half of the year. Besides, despite central banks' best efforts, it will take a while for American and European banks to resume lending to each other and to even slightly risky borrowers. Thus, I see the credit squeeze in the US and Europe continuing and perhaps even getting worse in the near term.
The US slowdown is likely to have knock-on effects on the global economy and world GDP growth is likely to moderate. More specifically the result of sharp currency appreciation, harder interest rates and a credit squeeze will begin to take a toll on euro-zone growth. The UK is well into a cyclical downturn.
As I have argued in earlier columns, I think it is impossible for Asian economies to remain immune to a downturn in the developed economies and growth rates will soften in this region as well. I honestly don't know much about Latin America but I think it is sensible to assume that what applies to Asia applies to these economies as well.
Global energy and food prices are likely to remain elevated in the first quarter but are likely to dip subsequently as demand compression on the back of slowing world demand begins to reflect in prices. I am, for example, convinced that concerns about fresh oil supplies and oil peaks notwithstanding, slower global growth is fundamentally incompatible with oil prices at over ninety dollars a barrel.
The same logic might just apply to other assets including stocks. If indeed the signs of global slowdown become more acute, large investors might begin to dump equities and hold on to safer assets like treasury bonds. If there is growing aversion to equities as an asset class, Asian markets (including Indian stock markets) will also take a hit. The slide in stock prices will not be due to risk-aversion alone.
If global growth slows, the slowing down will begin to impact the top line and bottom line growth of companies across economies. That in turn will buttress the negative sentiment towards risky assets. The bottom line: be prepared for a "correction" in the Indian stock market next year.
There is a potential offset. The US Fed is likely to follow a policy of phased quarter percentage point cuts in its target interest rate - I expect the American central bank to cut the Fed funds rate thrice next year. Thus while inflation risks will weigh on the Fed's mind, I expect growth concerns to dominate and spur the Fed to cut rates some more. I expect the European Central Bank to hold interest rates until the second half and then start cutting signal rates.
My bank's research team has forecast two rate cuts next year, possibly in the second half. The Bank of England is likely to be swifter with two quarter percentage point cuts in the first half of 2008. We also expect more direct liquidity both through unilateral cash infusion by central banks and perhaps through more co-ordinated intervention.
The question is: what happens to all this liquidity when central banks turn on their cash spigots? If investors remain terribly risk-averse, a lot of it would go into low-risk government bonds.
US treasury bond prices will continue to move up and yields will decline as this process continues. Besides, if US assets keep getting cheaper and cheaper, investors will sniff a bargain and start buying these assets. In fact, some of the bigger funds have already started picking up chunks of the American financial industry where valuations have hit rock-bottom. Asian sovereign investment funds, for instance, are bailing out cash-strapped American banks, picking up significant equity stakes in the process.
Finally, there is also a chance that some of the money will start finding its way into emerging financial markets where growth rates, at least in relative terms, will remain high in comparison with the rest of the world. What happens then? My prediction is that emerging markets including India are likely to get buffeted by the crosswinds of rising global liquidity and cheaper interest rates, on one side, and concerns about slowing growth, on the other. This means two things.
Our stock markets will remain volatile for a while to come and sharp upswings could be followed by a quick downturn. Ditto for the currency markets. The interplay of these opposing forces also means that these markets will be stuck in a range. Thus I do not see the possibility of prolonged phases of decline, nor do I see the prospect of an untrammelled bull run.
What will take the markets out of the doldrums? Since the problems of the US economy lie at the heart of all the problems, it will take some clarity on the situation there to do this. Any strong signal that the US cycle has bottomed out will lead to a quick re-pricing of risk and realignment of asset prices.
Showing posts with label Merger and Acquisition. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Merger and Acquisition. Show all posts
Tuesday, December 25, 2007
Sunday, September 23, 2007
BPO Sector Outlook
According to:
Dick Vleesenbeek
- Talent shortages are driving labour markets to become increasingly more global, competitive, and employee-driven
- BPO predicted to be an $80B industry by 2009/10
- RPO (subset of BPO) estimated to grow into a $20B by 2009/10
- Vendor Management Solutions (Managed Service Provider) Market predicted to grow to be $4.2B by 2009/10
- Clients are searching for true global solutions and partners
- Trend toward complex, comprehensive solutions (workforce management models) to blend the expertise of internal/external partners
- The trend toward solutions providing off-shoring and shared service components continues
- Staffing and consulting firms face an environment of evolving legislation, increasing consolidation, and technological advancements impacting the business
Atul Subbiah
Manager - M&A Strategy at Deloitte Consulting
1. The coming of age of the major Indian suppliers
2. The unbundling of contracts where deal size is getting smaller
3. Contracts are getting shorter and work is being spread across multiple providers
4. Large deals are being split, with an increase in number of multi vendor contracts leveraging the near shore and offshore options
5. Large outsourcing contracts signed in the 1990s are coming up for re-bidding
Sunmeet Jolly
A Dropping Dollar may affect the attractiveness and ROI in Outsourcing Industry. The trend needs to be watched carefully over next 2-3 years. Rising wages in Outsourcing Providing Countries also adds to the marging pressures. But Demand for Outsourced Services will definitely increase as projected by Analyst firms. Its likely to become a high volume game and we can see some consolidation on vendor side.
Deverick McIntyre PMP
Industry Leader on China's IT & outsourcing industry
Packaged ITO+BPO+ Infrastructure Management Outsourcing is a significant new trend. We have seen this type of consolidation especially in the Financial Services industry, where, for example, the IT system supporting the outsourced business process is hosted and administered by the same vendor.
It makes sense for many clients to consolidate the BPO and IT contracts with the one vendor to achieve synergies and manage risks. This is not good news for pure BPO players, however for the large Indian outsourcers such as Infosys, TATA and Wipro, as well as international players IBM, Accenture, Cap Gemini etc, it is a perfect fit with their broad solution sets.
Packaged IT/BPO contracts are much larger than pure BPO deals and this trend has led to the increasing use of sourcing consultants such as TPI, Everest Group or smaller players such as TaidaL for thorough due diligence.
The other equally important new trend is contract pricing based on client business revenue/risk. Mainly seen in ITO contracts, the trend to package ITO with BPO will result in more innovative BPO contracts using client business based pricing. It is an interesting trend which has come about as clients force consulting companies pushing solutions to "put their money where their mouth is" and invest in the outcome. "If this solution is good for my business then partner with us in the upside (and downside) risk"
Hossam Elgamal
General Manager of GNSE Group
the Global Business Process Outsourcing sector and just after the launch of the latest ATKearny report, shows a tough competition between different emerging players and existing well established ones like India.
this competition is certainly in the favor of the business, shaping up the processes, increasing the quality and diversifying the options and resources in such global industry.
the result in the coming 1-3 years would certainly be a more rewarding choice to clients with less risk and a more framed quality of delivery, more important an observation that is taking place currently where giant players (indian ones like Satyam, TATA, WIPRO...) are having competency centers outside India to diversify their offering, minimize the risk, better control the cost and benefit more of the other countries benefits... thus becoming truely global... which in turn would lead those countries of choice to learn from the experience, build the expertise and start becoming important players in that market..
but mostly important is the fact that Clients will benefit further and more clearer from the BPO, which will come to a maturity stage.
a) the emerging significant developments/trends would be the diversifications of the countries for large BPO players, and the globalizations in the true meaning of the services.
b) driving this trend are: 1. the clients experience and need for better risk management, further more options and choices, better quality, managed cost. 2. the Giant BPO players need to maintain competitive advantage, and capitalizing on the globalization opportunity 3. the Awarness of the emerging countries in that industry, their government support, and their industry maturity.
c) as i said, the key players are moving more agressively into a globalized diversified offering, not standing still in one country only. example for that WIPRO and SATYAM moved recently to open competency centers with 1000s of resources in Egypt, as the government is agressively supporting the initiative by providing incentives, and building the capacity of the local resources, while cost is very competitive and mastering arabic as well as different european languages help providing a competitive advantage!!
Source: LinkedIn
Dick Vleesenbeek
- Talent shortages are driving labour markets to become increasingly more global, competitive, and employee-driven
- BPO predicted to be an $80B industry by 2009/10
- RPO (subset of BPO) estimated to grow into a $20B by 2009/10
- Vendor Management Solutions (Managed Service Provider) Market predicted to grow to be $4.2B by 2009/10
- Clients are searching for true global solutions and partners
- Trend toward complex, comprehensive solutions (workforce management models) to blend the expertise of internal/external partners
- The trend toward solutions providing off-shoring and shared service components continues
- Staffing and consulting firms face an environment of evolving legislation, increasing consolidation, and technological advancements impacting the business
Atul Subbiah
Manager - M&A Strategy at Deloitte Consulting
1. The coming of age of the major Indian suppliers
2. The unbundling of contracts where deal size is getting smaller
3. Contracts are getting shorter and work is being spread across multiple providers
4. Large deals are being split, with an increase in number of multi vendor contracts leveraging the near shore and offshore options
5. Large outsourcing contracts signed in the 1990s are coming up for re-bidding
Sunmeet Jolly
A Dropping Dollar may affect the attractiveness and ROI in Outsourcing Industry. The trend needs to be watched carefully over next 2-3 years. Rising wages in Outsourcing Providing Countries also adds to the marging pressures. But Demand for Outsourced Services will definitely increase as projected by Analyst firms. Its likely to become a high volume game and we can see some consolidation on vendor side.
Deverick McIntyre PMP
Industry Leader on China's IT & outsourcing industry
Packaged ITO+BPO+ Infrastructure Management Outsourcing is a significant new trend. We have seen this type of consolidation especially in the Financial Services industry, where, for example, the IT system supporting the outsourced business process is hosted and administered by the same vendor.
It makes sense for many clients to consolidate the BPO and IT contracts with the one vendor to achieve synergies and manage risks. This is not good news for pure BPO players, however for the large Indian outsourcers such as Infosys, TATA and Wipro, as well as international players IBM, Accenture, Cap Gemini etc, it is a perfect fit with their broad solution sets.
Packaged IT/BPO contracts are much larger than pure BPO deals and this trend has led to the increasing use of sourcing consultants such as TPI, Everest Group or smaller players such as TaidaL for thorough due diligence.
The other equally important new trend is contract pricing based on client business revenue/risk. Mainly seen in ITO contracts, the trend to package ITO with BPO will result in more innovative BPO contracts using client business based pricing. It is an interesting trend which has come about as clients force consulting companies pushing solutions to "put their money where their mouth is" and invest in the outcome. "If this solution is good for my business then partner with us in the upside (and downside) risk"
Hossam Elgamal
General Manager of GNSE Group
the Global Business Process Outsourcing sector and just after the launch of the latest ATKearny report, shows a tough competition between different emerging players and existing well established ones like India.
this competition is certainly in the favor of the business, shaping up the processes, increasing the quality and diversifying the options and resources in such global industry.
the result in the coming 1-3 years would certainly be a more rewarding choice to clients with less risk and a more framed quality of delivery, more important an observation that is taking place currently where giant players (indian ones like Satyam, TATA, WIPRO...) are having competency centers outside India to diversify their offering, minimize the risk, better control the cost and benefit more of the other countries benefits... thus becoming truely global... which in turn would lead those countries of choice to learn from the experience, build the expertise and start becoming important players in that market..
but mostly important is the fact that Clients will benefit further and more clearer from the BPO, which will come to a maturity stage.
a) the emerging significant developments/trends would be the diversifications of the countries for large BPO players, and the globalizations in the true meaning of the services.
b) driving this trend are: 1. the clients experience and need for better risk management, further more options and choices, better quality, managed cost. 2. the Giant BPO players need to maintain competitive advantage, and capitalizing on the globalization opportunity 3. the Awarness of the emerging countries in that industry, their government support, and their industry maturity.
c) as i said, the key players are moving more agressively into a globalized diversified offering, not standing still in one country only. example for that WIPRO and SATYAM moved recently to open competency centers with 1000s of resources in Egypt, as the government is agressively supporting the initiative by providing incentives, and building the capacity of the local resources, while cost is very competitive and mastering arabic as well as different european languages help providing a competitive advantage!!
Source: LinkedIn
Friday, August 17, 2007
KPMG Predicts that Global M&A Market is about to Peak
By Big4.com Staff Writers, August 2007
Global M&A Predictor of KPMG Corporate Finance suggests that the Global Mergers and Acquisitions market is going to peak, and further predicts a fall in overall deal volumes this year. KPMG believes that in the year 2007 the global deal volumes will be much less than those achieved in the year 2006.
Global 1,000 M&A Predictor of KPMG Corporate Finance also believes that the latest data of Dealogic which illustrates increasing average deal size on lower volumes, signifies a "final hurrah" with less, but bigger deals being completed.
Stephen Barrett, International Chairman, Corporate Finance at KPMG, comments that "Global activity is about to peak, certainly in terms of deal volume, and we foresee a continued fall in deal numbers during the course of 2007."
Global 1,000 analysis of KPMG reveals that in the first five months of the year 2007, there was a major inconsistency between the main trend indicators of deal values and volumes. The study done by KPMG further reveals that in spite of conservative balance sheets, the appetite for M&A transactions seems to be slowing down.
Europe, out of the major global regions, mainly remains positive in terms of potential M&A activity. In terms of valuation, the U.S remains static. In terms of sector regions, M&A prospects seem to exist in Oil and Gas (North America), Basic Materials (North America), Utilities (Europe), Industrial (Europe) and Consumer Service (Europe). The analysis done by KPMG shows that out of all the main global regions, Europe continues shows the strongest M&A picture.
Global M&A Predictor of KPMG Corporate Finance suggests that the Global Mergers and Acquisitions market is going to peak, and further predicts a fall in overall deal volumes this year. KPMG believes that in the year 2007 the global deal volumes will be much less than those achieved in the year 2006.
Global 1,000 M&A Predictor of KPMG Corporate Finance also believes that the latest data of Dealogic which illustrates increasing average deal size on lower volumes, signifies a "final hurrah" with less, but bigger deals being completed.
Stephen Barrett, International Chairman, Corporate Finance at KPMG, comments that "Global activity is about to peak, certainly in terms of deal volume, and we foresee a continued fall in deal numbers during the course of 2007."
Global 1,000 analysis of KPMG reveals that in the first five months of the year 2007, there was a major inconsistency between the main trend indicators of deal values and volumes. The study done by KPMG further reveals that in spite of conservative balance sheets, the appetite for M&A transactions seems to be slowing down.
Europe, out of the major global regions, mainly remains positive in terms of potential M&A activity. In terms of valuation, the U.S remains static. In terms of sector regions, M&A prospects seem to exist in Oil and Gas (North America), Basic Materials (North America), Utilities (Europe), Industrial (Europe) and Consumer Service (Europe). The analysis done by KPMG shows that out of all the main global regions, Europe continues shows the strongest M&A picture.
Monday, August 13, 2007
Indian M&A Deals Update (Mar-July 07)
North America and Asia were the favourite hunting grounds of India Inc on global acquisition chase as the takeovers deals in these region touched $7 billion and $4.2 billion in the first four months of 2007-08, according to Assocham Eco Pulse Study (AEP). India Inc's global acquisition deals have been worth $15.3 billion. Deals with US-based companies worth $5.1 billion were accomplished during the period April-July 2007 as tracked by the AEP in Study on Mergers & Acquisitions during April-July 2007-08. Tata Group was at the forefront with their total deal values worth $2.13 billion in steel, hospitality and automotives sector. Essar Group acquired Minnesota Steel for $1.65 billion in the US. Reliance Communication expanded to US communications market by acquiring Yipes for $300 million while Infosys plans to acquire Phillips Global for $200 million. Another big acquisition was that of Globeleq by D S Construction for $542 million.
"The equation of business relations with the western countries is undergoing a significant change. Indian business leaders are aiming inorganic expansion through the most industrialised country of the world", said Venugopal Dhoot, President, Assocham, commenting on the success of Indian entrepreneurs in acquiring high value companies based in US. Metal companies in Canada were traced by the Indian bluechips with the war chest of $1.7 billion. Whereas Essar Global acquired Algoma Steel for $1.58 billion, Aditya Birla acquired announced take over of Utkal Alumina International for $0.19 billion. Among the Asian countries, Vietnam was the largest receiver of the deal money as Tata Steel entered into a joint venture with Vietnam Steel with 65% stake for $3.5 billion. Indonesia, Israel and Singapore are the other nations.
12 August 2007, Excerpts sourced from Financial Express
"The equation of business relations with the western countries is undergoing a significant change. Indian business leaders are aiming inorganic expansion through the most industrialised country of the world", said Venugopal Dhoot, President, Assocham, commenting on the success of Indian entrepreneurs in acquiring high value companies based in US. Metal companies in Canada were traced by the Indian bluechips with the war chest of $1.7 billion. Whereas Essar Global acquired Algoma Steel for $1.58 billion, Aditya Birla acquired announced take over of Utkal Alumina International for $0.19 billion. Among the Asian countries, Vietnam was the largest receiver of the deal money as Tata Steel entered into a joint venture with Vietnam Steel with 65% stake for $3.5 billion. Indonesia, Israel and Singapore are the other nations.
12 August 2007, Excerpts sourced from Financial Express
Thursday, June 14, 2007
Auction websites changing traditional M&A processes in India & the World
Investment bankers have found a new rival in executing merger and acquisition deals in the form of the Internet, which allows sale or purchase of a company at the the click of a mouse.
Marking a significant coming-of-age for the e-commerce industry, online auction platforms like eBay are no more just about selling or buying consumer goods. In fact, entire companies are being sold and acquired on these websites in a simpler, faster and cheaper way than the traditional methods involving a plethora of investment bankers and advisors.
The trend is catching up fast in India as well after a number of successful deals in the US and other countries.
A Lucknow-based telecom firm is seeking bids for 25% stake in the company on eBay India website, a retail outlet in Kharagpur is on sale for a minimum of Rs18 lakh, while another electric vehicle manufactruing firm from the country is also soliciting potential buyers on the website.
Besides, an operational job portal Alphacareer.com, based in Bangalore, has also listed itself for sale on the eBay USA website and is seeking buyers from across the world.
Another e-commerce website focussed on sale and purchase of a business, Biz Buy Sell, has a US-based company seeking buyer for its fully-staffed Indian software developement subsidiary in Mumbai at a base price of $500,000.
There are several other such examples on some of these auction sites.
Inference
Market experts believe prospects for such deals in India should improve further, given the growing number of Internet users and increasing awareness about such websites.
According to web traffic tracking firm comScore, India is already one of the ten most populous countries in terms of Internet users and is growing at a sharp rate.
Source: PTI
Marking a significant coming-of-age for the e-commerce industry, online auction platforms like eBay are no more just about selling or buying consumer goods. In fact, entire companies are being sold and acquired on these websites in a simpler, faster and cheaper way than the traditional methods involving a plethora of investment bankers and advisors.
The trend is catching up fast in India as well after a number of successful deals in the US and other countries.
A Lucknow-based telecom firm is seeking bids for 25% stake in the company on eBay India website, a retail outlet in Kharagpur is on sale for a minimum of Rs18 lakh, while another electric vehicle manufactruing firm from the country is also soliciting potential buyers on the website.
Besides, an operational job portal Alphacareer.com, based in Bangalore, has also listed itself for sale on the eBay USA website and is seeking buyers from across the world.
Another e-commerce website focussed on sale and purchase of a business, Biz Buy Sell, has a US-based company seeking buyer for its fully-staffed Indian software developement subsidiary in Mumbai at a base price of $500,000.
There are several other such examples on some of these auction sites.
Inference
Market experts believe prospects for such deals in India should improve further, given the growing number of Internet users and increasing awareness about such websites.
According to web traffic tracking firm comScore, India is already one of the ten most populous countries in terms of Internet users and is growing at a sharp rate.
Source: PTI
India’s airline sector anticipating more consolidation
India’s booming airline industry will see further consolidation by 2010 amid growing competition, rising costs and over-capacity along key routes, an industry body said on 13 June.
At least fourteen new airlines such as Easy Air, Trans India and Star Air are seeking government approval to launch operations.
From just three private airlines in 2003, the number has jumped to ten, including low-cost carriers such as SpiceJet, Go Air, Paramount Airways and IndiGo. “Carrier rationalisation along key routes is required, as we see over-concentration of seat capacity along main routes,” said Kapil Kaul, chief executive with responsibility for the Indian subcontinent at the Centre for Asia Pacific Aviation (CAPA) on 13 June.
“Greater consolidation is expected to continue... in the form of strategic alliances, market exits and buyouts of smaller airlines,” he said on the last day of a three-day aviation summit in India’s financial capital. India’s low-cost carriers (LCCs) captured 35% of market share in April this year, Kaul said.
These budget carriers are likely to double their market share by 2010 -- one of the highest in the world, the CAPA said in a recent report on the Indian subcontinent. The performance of two new LCCs -- Air India Express and JetLite (formerly Air Sahara) -- in the domestic market is likely to be closely watched.
“The overall picture in India for present is one of growth, but against a backdrop of extreme, and mounting, unprofitability,” the CAPA report said. India’s airline industry lost 500 million dollars in the year ending March 2007, spurring domestic players to buy rivals.
The country’s largest domestic carrier Jet Airways bought competitor Air Sahara for nearly 340 million dollars in April, followed by a deal between Kingfisher and Air Deccan airlines in May.
India’s airlines have expanded aggressively in recent years, with about 480 aircraft on order for delivery through to 2012.
Source: Wall Street Journal
At least fourteen new airlines such as Easy Air, Trans India and Star Air are seeking government approval to launch operations.
From just three private airlines in 2003, the number has jumped to ten, including low-cost carriers such as SpiceJet, Go Air, Paramount Airways and IndiGo. “Carrier rationalisation along key routes is required, as we see over-concentration of seat capacity along main routes,” said Kapil Kaul, chief executive with responsibility for the Indian subcontinent at the Centre for Asia Pacific Aviation (CAPA) on 13 June.
“Greater consolidation is expected to continue... in the form of strategic alliances, market exits and buyouts of smaller airlines,” he said on the last day of a three-day aviation summit in India’s financial capital. India’s low-cost carriers (LCCs) captured 35% of market share in April this year, Kaul said.
These budget carriers are likely to double their market share by 2010 -- one of the highest in the world, the CAPA said in a recent report on the Indian subcontinent. The performance of two new LCCs -- Air India Express and JetLite (formerly Air Sahara) -- in the domestic market is likely to be closely watched.
“The overall picture in India for present is one of growth, but against a backdrop of extreme, and mounting, unprofitability,” the CAPA report said. India’s airline industry lost 500 million dollars in the year ending March 2007, spurring domestic players to buy rivals.
The country’s largest domestic carrier Jet Airways bought competitor Air Sahara for nearly 340 million dollars in April, followed by a deal between Kingfisher and Air Deccan airlines in May.
India’s airlines have expanded aggressively in recent years, with about 480 aircraft on order for delivery through to 2012.
Source: Wall Street Journal
Wednesday, June 13, 2007
Indian M&A Deals - H1 2007 update
According to data compiled by global consultancy firm Grant Thornton, 42 cross-border deals with an announced value of $4.11 billion were carried out by Corporate India in May, while 32 domestic M&As garnered just $0.26 billion to their kitty.
The total number of M&A deals announced in May was worth $4.37 billion, with United Spirits buying out Whyte & Mackay for $1.11 billion, and Suzlon Energy’s controlling stake in REpower for 1.7 billion dollars, being the most significant deals of the month, Thorton said.
The M&A deals in the month totalled 74 with announced values of $4.37 billion as against 57 deals worth $3.98 billion in April, Thornton’s Dealtracker report said.
Out of the total cross-border deals, 30 were outbound with Indian companies acquiring businesses outside the country for a value of $3.79 billion.
There were 12 inbound deals (international companies acquiring Indian businesses) with an announced value of close to $0.32 billion. Besides, the total number of private equity deals announced during the month stands at 24 with an announced value of $1.56 billion as against 23 deals with a total announced value of $0.44 billion in April.
Some top deals
Canadian steel maker Algoma’s shareholders approved the $1.74 billion sale of the company to Essar Steel Holdings, clearing the way for a deal struck in mid-April. Algoma said it expects the acquisition to be completed by June 18.
May’s largest deals were United Spirits’ acquisition of Scottish beverage maker Whyte and Mackay for $1.2 billion and Suzlon Energy’s purchase of a controlling stake in Germany’s RE Power for $1.7 billion.
According to Grant Thornton Corporate Advisory Services - The average size of acquisitions in 2007 has been about $160 million to $180 million but that number has been inflated by a few multibillion-dollar deals. Out of the 287 M&A deals reported so far this year, only about 20 have been worth more than $160 million.
Deal activity is likely to remain brisk in technology and pharmaceuticals. Telecom, which saw one of the largest inbound acquisitions of the year when British giant Vodafone agreed to buy Hutchison Telecom’s stake in Hutchison Essar for $11.1 billion, is another possible venue for more deals, but it would likely consist of fewer transactions with larger value.
India is the world’s fastest-growing cellular market, adding over 6 million subscribers a month.
World Bank’s private sector arm, International Finance Corporation (IFC) invested 30 million dollars in Kanoria Chemicals and Electrotherm India in May.
Private equity investor Sequoia Capital invested about $7 milion in IT firm Minglebox.com, while Reliance Capital picked up a stake in Precision Wires for $4.12 million, the data show.
Some of the major inbound cross-border deals include French banking major BNP Paribas’s acquisition of 45 per cent stake in financial services firm Sundaram Home Finance for $45.81 million.
Besides, Standard Chartered Bank bought 49 per cent stake for $34.19 million in UTI Securities and Interpublic Group hiked its stake in Lintas India to 100 per cent for $100 million.
In March and April, there were 111 M&A deals with a total value of about $6.12 billion. These included 62 domestic deals with a value of $0.73 billion. The number of inbound cross-border deals has been 17 with a value of $1.98 billion and the number of outbound cross border deals was 32 with a value of $3.41 billion.
The total number of M&A deals announced in May was worth $4.37 billion, with United Spirits buying out Whyte & Mackay for $1.11 billion, and Suzlon Energy’s controlling stake in REpower for 1.7 billion dollars, being the most significant deals of the month, Thorton said.
The M&A deals in the month totalled 74 with announced values of $4.37 billion as against 57 deals worth $3.98 billion in April, Thornton’s Dealtracker report said.
Out of the total cross-border deals, 30 were outbound with Indian companies acquiring businesses outside the country for a value of $3.79 billion.
There were 12 inbound deals (international companies acquiring Indian businesses) with an announced value of close to $0.32 billion. Besides, the total number of private equity deals announced during the month stands at 24 with an announced value of $1.56 billion as against 23 deals with a total announced value of $0.44 billion in April.
Some top deals
Canadian steel maker Algoma’s shareholders approved the $1.74 billion sale of the company to Essar Steel Holdings, clearing the way for a deal struck in mid-April. Algoma said it expects the acquisition to be completed by June 18.
May’s largest deals were United Spirits’ acquisition of Scottish beverage maker Whyte and Mackay for $1.2 billion and Suzlon Energy’s purchase of a controlling stake in Germany’s RE Power for $1.7 billion.
According to Grant Thornton Corporate Advisory Services - The average size of acquisitions in 2007 has been about $160 million to $180 million but that number has been inflated by a few multibillion-dollar deals. Out of the 287 M&A deals reported so far this year, only about 20 have been worth more than $160 million.
Deal activity is likely to remain brisk in technology and pharmaceuticals. Telecom, which saw one of the largest inbound acquisitions of the year when British giant Vodafone agreed to buy Hutchison Telecom’s stake in Hutchison Essar for $11.1 billion, is another possible venue for more deals, but it would likely consist of fewer transactions with larger value.
India is the world’s fastest-growing cellular market, adding over 6 million subscribers a month.
World Bank’s private sector arm, International Finance Corporation (IFC) invested 30 million dollars in Kanoria Chemicals and Electrotherm India in May.
Private equity investor Sequoia Capital invested about $7 milion in IT firm Minglebox.com, while Reliance Capital picked up a stake in Precision Wires for $4.12 million, the data show.
Some of the major inbound cross-border deals include French banking major BNP Paribas’s acquisition of 45 per cent stake in financial services firm Sundaram Home Finance for $45.81 million.
Besides, Standard Chartered Bank bought 49 per cent stake for $34.19 million in UTI Securities and Interpublic Group hiked its stake in Lintas India to 100 per cent for $100 million.
In March and April, there were 111 M&A deals with a total value of about $6.12 billion. These included 62 domestic deals with a value of $0.73 billion. The number of inbound cross-border deals has been 17 with a value of $1.98 billion and the number of outbound cross border deals was 32 with a value of $3.41 billion.
Thursday, May 31, 2007
VC Update - Q1 FY07
According to the MoneyTree Report by PricewaterhouseCoopers and the national Venture Capital Association based on data by Thompson Financial, in the first quarter of the year 2007, venture capitalists invested $7.1 billion into 778 deals, which was the highest quarterly dollar amount since the fourth quarter of the year 2001. Compared with the fourth quarter of the year 2006, deal value actually declined in the quarter, which indicates venture capitalists' eagerness to put more dollars into each round.
While Biotechnology ranks as the number one industry for investment, the Life Science sector had an extremely strong quarter. Since the fourth quarter of the year 2002, later stage investing also jumped in the quarter to the highest dollar level. First time financings remained quite stable, increasing slightly over last quarter.
Tracy Lefteroff, the global managing partner of the venture capital practice at PricewaterhouseCoopers said, "This quarter, the breadth of investing in a wide variety of industry segments and in companies across varying stages of maturity indicates a healthy balance between short- and long-term opportunities".
According to Mark Heesen, the president of the National Venture Capital Association, right now the Life Science sector is getting a lot of attention but it is an industry that is indeed scalable. To get through the regulatory process, biotech and medical device companies needs a large amount of capital and the Venture Capital industry is responding to this demand.
Investments in Later Stage companies augmented considerably in the first quarter of the year 2007 with $3.0 billion dollars going into 245 deals. In over six years, this was the highest dollar level. Funding dollars for Early Stage companies declined 30% in Q1 to $1.1 billion in 259 companies. Investments in Expansion Stage companies experienced a modest increase in dollar in Q1, growing nearly 9% to $2.9 billion invested into 274 deals.
Compared with the preceding quarter, fewer companies received funding for the first time in Q1 2007. Nevertheless, the dollar value of the rounds was collectively higher. In the first quarter of the year 2007, US based venture capitalists invested $83 million into 2 deals in India and $137 million into 18 deals in China.
Sourced from Big4.com
While Biotechnology ranks as the number one industry for investment, the Life Science sector had an extremely strong quarter. Since the fourth quarter of the year 2002, later stage investing also jumped in the quarter to the highest dollar level. First time financings remained quite stable, increasing slightly over last quarter.
Tracy Lefteroff, the global managing partner of the venture capital practice at PricewaterhouseCoopers said, "This quarter, the breadth of investing in a wide variety of industry segments and in companies across varying stages of maturity indicates a healthy balance between short- and long-term opportunities".
According to Mark Heesen, the president of the National Venture Capital Association, right now the Life Science sector is getting a lot of attention but it is an industry that is indeed scalable. To get through the regulatory process, biotech and medical device companies needs a large amount of capital and the Venture Capital industry is responding to this demand.
Investments in Later Stage companies augmented considerably in the first quarter of the year 2007 with $3.0 billion dollars going into 245 deals. In over six years, this was the highest dollar level. Funding dollars for Early Stage companies declined 30% in Q1 to $1.1 billion in 259 companies. Investments in Expansion Stage companies experienced a modest increase in dollar in Q1, growing nearly 9% to $2.9 billion invested into 274 deals.
Compared with the preceding quarter, fewer companies received funding for the first time in Q1 2007. Nevertheless, the dollar value of the rounds was collectively higher. In the first quarter of the year 2007, US based venture capitalists invested $83 million into 2 deals in India and $137 million into 18 deals in China.
Sourced from Big4.com
Tuesday, April 3, 2007
Private equity to drive 2007 Merger and Acquisition (M&A) activity
Excerpts sourced from Law Times
2006 set a record for mergers and acquisitions worldwide. Deals totaled $3.79 trillion, 38% higher than in 2005, and 55 of the transactions were valued at more than $10 billion each, according to data from Thomson Financial. Europe was one of the big players, registering 39% more deals than in 2005 for a total of $1.43 trillion. The U.S. came in at $1.56 trillion, 36% higher than the year before. Private equity firms were major movers in this trend, responsible for 20% of global M&A activity and 27% of activity in the U.S., according to Thomson.
According to KPMG, the value of all M&A deals in Canada during 2006 hit US$173.6 billion, rising 26 per cent from 2005. The top five deals accounted for one-third of that activity or US$60 billion. They included:
• Xstrata PLC's US$18-billion acquisition of Falconbridge Ltd.
• Cia Vale do Rio Doce SA's US$1- billion acquisition of Inco Ltd.
• Barrick Gold Corp.'s US$10-billion acquisition of Placer Dome Inc.
• Goldcorp Inc.'s US$8.7-billion acquisition of Glamis Gold Ltd.
• Arcelor SA's $5.2-billion acquisition Dofasco Inc.
What will be the situation in 2007
Torys LLP, Blake Cassels & Graydon LLP, and KPMG LLP have all weighed in with studies examining upcoming mergers and acquisitions activity in 2007. They expect activity to increase and predict that private equity deals will play a more prominent role in capital market activity this year.
In the past two years, U.S. private equity firms have raised more than US$357 billion and Canadian firms have raised more than Cdn$7 billion. The markets are awash in private equity waiting to be deployed.
"Private equity firms have already become a bigger player in deals. The Blakes study found that 5.4 per cent of deals in 2005 involved private equity. By the third quarter of 2006, that had grown to 14.1 per cent."
The proliferation of private equity players means there are more bidders at the table. While deals used to attract two or three offers, now there can be as many as 10 parties expressing interest. Each one requires legal representation and for the party selling the asset, it means competitive bids and upward pressure on valuations — a good thing for the seller and a not so good thing for the buyer.
In its study, Torys notes that private equity will have growing impact this year in various areas. The first is going-private transactions. As public companies look to get out from under daunting market regulation, private equity is the savior.
The amount of private equity capital available and the fact many firms are banding together to do "club" deals — where they join forces to bid and pitch deals — means the size of a going-private transaction is almost meaningless.
Torys also expects pension funds to continue to invest more of their assets in private equity. That will spur them to do their own deals and they will also play a more prominent role in club deals.
Demographics are another factor giving rise to private equity deals in the coming decade. The first wave of baby boomers is hitting their 60s and those who have built successful businesses need to start thinking about an exit strategy. They will either have to pass the company down to their kids or sell out to management, a competitor, or an investment bank.
So what industries will be hot in 2007? For that we can look to the Blakes study. Its respondents felt that M&A activity of all types will rise in the coming year. The hottest sector will remain energy, followed by mining, and industrials and manufacturing.
The latter category will be a sweet spot for business law firms of all sizes, as the study notes that transactions in this sector tend to be in the US$20- to $150-million range. One-third of the Canadian investment bankers surveyed predict that deals in the industrial and manufacturing sector will attract more interest from foreign firms.
As for technology and telecom, interestingly, U.S. investment bankers are more optimistic than Canadians about the prospects for technology and telecom companies. Twenty per cent of U.S. bankers expect it will be the sector with the most consolidation, whereas 40 per cent of our investment bankers predict it will be the industry with the least amount of consolidation.
2006 set a record for mergers and acquisitions worldwide. Deals totaled $3.79 trillion, 38% higher than in 2005, and 55 of the transactions were valued at more than $10 billion each, according to data from Thomson Financial. Europe was one of the big players, registering 39% more deals than in 2005 for a total of $1.43 trillion. The U.S. came in at $1.56 trillion, 36% higher than the year before. Private equity firms were major movers in this trend, responsible for 20% of global M&A activity and 27% of activity in the U.S., according to Thomson.
According to KPMG, the value of all M&A deals in Canada during 2006 hit US$173.6 billion, rising 26 per cent from 2005. The top five deals accounted for one-third of that activity or US$60 billion. They included:
• Xstrata PLC's US$18-billion acquisition of Falconbridge Ltd.
• Cia Vale do Rio Doce SA's US$1- billion acquisition of Inco Ltd.
• Barrick Gold Corp.'s US$10-billion acquisition of Placer Dome Inc.
• Goldcorp Inc.'s US$8.7-billion acquisition of Glamis Gold Ltd.
• Arcelor SA's $5.2-billion acquisition Dofasco Inc.
What will be the situation in 2007
Torys LLP, Blake Cassels & Graydon LLP, and KPMG LLP have all weighed in with studies examining upcoming mergers and acquisitions activity in 2007. They expect activity to increase and predict that private equity deals will play a more prominent role in capital market activity this year.
In the past two years, U.S. private equity firms have raised more than US$357 billion and Canadian firms have raised more than Cdn$7 billion. The markets are awash in private equity waiting to be deployed.
"Private equity firms have already become a bigger player in deals. The Blakes study found that 5.4 per cent of deals in 2005 involved private equity. By the third quarter of 2006, that had grown to 14.1 per cent."
The proliferation of private equity players means there are more bidders at the table. While deals used to attract two or three offers, now there can be as many as 10 parties expressing interest. Each one requires legal representation and for the party selling the asset, it means competitive bids and upward pressure on valuations — a good thing for the seller and a not so good thing for the buyer.
In its study, Torys notes that private equity will have growing impact this year in various areas. The first is going-private transactions. As public companies look to get out from under daunting market regulation, private equity is the savior.
The amount of private equity capital available and the fact many firms are banding together to do "club" deals — where they join forces to bid and pitch deals — means the size of a going-private transaction is almost meaningless.
Torys also expects pension funds to continue to invest more of their assets in private equity. That will spur them to do their own deals and they will also play a more prominent role in club deals.
Demographics are another factor giving rise to private equity deals in the coming decade. The first wave of baby boomers is hitting their 60s and those who have built successful businesses need to start thinking about an exit strategy. They will either have to pass the company down to their kids or sell out to management, a competitor, or an investment bank.
So what industries will be hot in 2007? For that we can look to the Blakes study. Its respondents felt that M&A activity of all types will rise in the coming year. The hottest sector will remain energy, followed by mining, and industrials and manufacturing.
The latter category will be a sweet spot for business law firms of all sizes, as the study notes that transactions in this sector tend to be in the US$20- to $150-million range. One-third of the Canadian investment bankers surveyed predict that deals in the industrial and manufacturing sector will attract more interest from foreign firms.
As for technology and telecom, interestingly, U.S. investment bankers are more optimistic than Canadians about the prospects for technology and telecom companies. Twenty per cent of U.S. bankers expect it will be the sector with the most consolidation, whereas 40 per cent of our investment bankers predict it will be the industry with the least amount of consolidation.
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